Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.465282 0.546590 0.635885 0.740956 0.860919 0.993316 1.150192
2024-10-27 0.338539 0.445813 0.575379 0.742169 0.949831 1.198409 1.516869
2024-11-03 0.265040 0.385083 0.542252 0.760221 1.051328 1.422956 1.928851
2024-11-10 0.212173 0.336459 0.511131 0.769423 1.135443 1.628339 2.333417
2024-11-17 0.172672 0.296584 0.482226 0.772798 1.206392 1.817685 2.729654
2024-11-24 0.145127 0.268148 0.463415 0.784914 1.286891 2.023246 3.162019
2024-12-01 0.121818 0.241319 0.441632 0.787347 1.350072 2.205837 3.572779
2024-12-08 0.098320 0.209068 0.405186 0.759862 1.361216 2.308251 3.868726
2024-12-15 0.087536 0.197710 0.402054 0.786275 1.459970 2.551587 4.396056
2024-12-22 0.077481 0.185645 0.395473 0.805019 1.546385 2.780307 4.914771
2024-12-29 0.072388 0.182656 0.405079 0.853380 1.687267 3.107028 5.611938
2025-01-05 0.062335 0.166927 0.387485 0.848423 1.732258 3.275404 6.057910
2025-01-12 0.053066 0.151269 0.368162 0.838663 1.769225 3.435859 6.507535
2025-01-19 0.045406 0.137736 0.351160 0.831264 1.809632 3.605127 6.983931
2025-01-26 0.040596 0.130273 0.346208 0.847884 1.897459 3.865102 7.635448
2025-02-02 0.035919 0.122056 0.338190 0.856761 1.970325 4.102141 8.260050
2025-02-09 0.031554 0.113629 0.328266 0.860003 2.031567 4.320957 8.863954
2025-02-16 0.028272 0.107555 0.323080 0.873131 2.114076 4.585074 9.566182
2025-02-23 0.024921 0.100389 0.313922 0.875735 2.174080 4.808947 10.205061
2025-03-02 0.020717 0.089232 0.292293 0.845538 2.159563 4.884134 10.564120
2025-03-09 0.019236 0.086988 0.294602 0.874525 2.278885 5.235138 11.475488
2025-03-16 0.017609 0.083776 0.293656 0.895091 2.380631 5.556143 12.344414
2025-03-23 0.017100 0.084656 0.304774 0.948136 2.561569 6.051215 13.583126